Head to head

Papua New Guinea vs Samoa

If they played today

Papua New Guinea at home

63% / 21% / 16%

Papua New Guinea win / draw / Samoa win

Papua New Guinea–Samoa

1–0 11.7%
2–0 11.4%
1–1 10.1%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.4%

Neutral venue

55% / 23% / 21%

Papua New Guinea win / draw / Samoa win

Papua New Guinea–Samoa

1–0 11.2%
1–1 11.2%
2–0 9.8%
2–1 9.8%
0–0 6.4%

Samoa at home

47% / 25% / 28%

Papua New Guinea win / draw / Samoa win

Papua New Guinea–Samoa

1–1 12.0%
1–0 10.6%
2–1 9.3%
2–0 8.2%
0–1 7.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Papua New Guinea	Samoa
Current Elo	1443	1216
Elo rank	133rd	179th
Peak Elo	1553 (1989)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	155	71
All-time record	52W 29D 74L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	336	99
Goals against	312	249
Biggest win	20–0 vs American Samoa · 1987-12-15 · South Pacific Games	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–10 vs Malaysia · 2023-06-20 · Friendly	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
OFC Nations Cups won	0	0
Expected OFC Nations Cups	0.29	0.03

When they've met

Meetings

Papua New Guinea 6W 0D 0L

Goals

28–4

Papua New Guinea first

First meeting

4–1

Papua New Guinea won · 1981-07-09 · South Pacific Mini Games

Most recent

2–1

Papua New Guinea won · 2024-06-22 · Oceania Nations Cup

Papua New Guinea's biggest win

8–0

2016-06-05 · Oceania Nations Cup

Samoa's biggest win

—

Never beaten Papua New Guinea

Most common result

4–1

Papua New Guinea first · 3 times, last 2004-05-19

Current run

Won last 6

Papua New Guinea · since 1981-07-09

6 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2024-06-22	2–1	Neutral	Oceania Nations Cup
2019-07-08	6–0	Samoa home	Pacific Games
2016-06-05	8–0	Papua New Guinea home	Oceania Nations Cup
2004-05-19	4–1	Samoa home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2002-03-16	4–1	Samoa home	Oceania Nations Cup qualification
1981-07-09	4–1	Neutral	South Pacific Mini Games