Head to head

Panama vs Tonga

If they played today

Panama at home

91% / 7% / 1%

Panama win / draw / Tonga win

Panama–Tonga

2–0 18.5%
3–0 18.1%
4–0 13.2%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 7.7%

Neutral venue

87% / 10% / 3%

Panama win / draw / Tonga win

Panama–Tonga

2–0 17.2%
3–0 15.6%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 10.6%
2–1 6.0%

Tonga at home

82% / 13% / 5%

Panama win / draw / Tonga win

Panama–Tonga

2–0 15.8%
3–0 13.3%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 8.4%
2–1 7.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Panama	Tonga
Current Elo	1770	1056
Elo rank	47th	198th
Peak Elo	1891 (2025)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	542	68
All-time record	183W 133D 226L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	679	81
Goals against	826	253
Biggest win	13–0 vs Anguilla · 2021-06-05 · FIFA World Cup qualification	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–11 vs Costa Rica · 1938-02-16 · Central American and Caribbean Games	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.01	0.00

When they've met

Panama and Tonga have never played each other.