Head to head

Panama vs Samoa

If they played today

Panama at home

84% / 12% / 4%

Panama win / draw / Samoa win

Panama–Samoa

2–0 16.3%
3–0 14.2%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 9.3%
2–1 7.0%

Neutral venue

78% / 15% / 7%

Panama win / draw / Samoa win

Panama–Samoa

2–0 14.9%
1–0 12.4%
3–0 11.9%
2–1 8.4%
4–0 7.2%

Samoa at home

72% / 18% / 10%

Panama win / draw / Samoa win

Panama–Samoa

2–0 13.4%
1–0 12.1%
3–0 9.8%
2–1 9.3%
1–1 8.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Panama	Samoa
Current Elo	1770	1216
Elo rank	47th	179th
Peak Elo	1891 (2025)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	542	71
All-time record	183W 133D 226L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	679	99
Goals against	826	249
Biggest win	13–0 vs Anguilla · 2021-06-05 · FIFA World Cup qualification	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–11 vs Costa Rica · 1938-02-16 · Central American and Caribbean Games	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.01	0.00

When they've met

Panama and Samoa have never played each other.