Head to head

Panama vs Saint Lucia

If they played today

Panama at home

84% / 12% / 4%

Panama win / draw / Saint Lucia win

Panama–Saint Lucia

2–0 16.2%
3–0 14.0%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 9.1%
2–1 7.1%

Neutral venue

78% / 15% / 7%

Panama win / draw / Saint Lucia win

Panama–Saint Lucia

2–0 14.8%
1–0 12.3%
3–0 11.8%
2–1 8.4%
1–1 7.1%

Saint Lucia at home

71% / 18% / 11%

Panama win / draw / Saint Lucia win

Panama–Saint Lucia

2–0 13.3%
1–0 12.1%
3–0 9.7%
2–1 9.3%
1–1 8.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Panama	Saint Lucia
Current Elo	1770	1224
Elo rank	47th	177th
Peak Elo	1891 (2025)	1526 (1965)
Matches played	542	230
All-time record	183W 133D 226L	80W 33D 117L
Goals for	679	327
Goals against	826	438
Biggest win	13–0 vs Anguilla · 2021-06-05 · FIFA World Cup qualification	14–1 vs United States Virgin Islands · 2001-04-14 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–11 vs Costa Rica · 1938-02-16 · Central American and Caribbean Games	0–8 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 2006-10-01 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.01	0.00
CONCACAF Gold Cups won	0	0
Expected CONCACAF Gold Cups	0.67	0.00

When they've met

Meetings

Panama 2W 0D 0L

Goals

7–0

Panama first

First meeting

4–0

Panama won · 2004-06-13 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most recent

3–0

Panama won · 2004-06-20 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Panama's biggest win

4–0

2004-06-13 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Saint Lucia's biggest win

—

Never beaten Panama

Current run

Won last 2

Panama · since 2004-06-13

2 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2004-06-20	3–0	Saint Lucia home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2004-06-13	4–0	Panama home	FIFA World Cup qualification