Head to head

Northern Ireland vs Uzbekistan

If they played today

Northern Ireland at home

40% / 26% / 34%

Northern Ireland win / draw / Uzbekistan win

Northern Ireland–Uzbekistan

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.9%
0–1 9.1%
2–1 8.5%
1–2 7.8%

Neutral venue

32% / 26% / 42%

Northern Ireland win / draw / Uzbekistan win

Northern Ireland–Uzbekistan

1–1 12.3%
0–1 10.2%
1–2 8.8%
1–0 8.6%
2–1 7.5%

Uzbekistan at home

25% / 25% / 50%

Northern Ireland win / draw / Uzbekistan win

Northern Ireland–Uzbekistan

1–1 11.7%
0–1 10.8%
1–2 9.5%
0–2 8.8%
1–0 7.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Northern Ireland	Uzbekistan
Current Elo	1667	1731
Elo rank	73rd	56th
Peak Elo	1758 (1986)	1844 (2025)
Matches played	707	357
All-time record	185W 160D 362L	169W 73D 115L
Goals for	741	615
Goals against	1296	405
Biggest win	7–0 vs Wales · 1930-02-01 · British Home Championship	15–0 vs Mongolia · 1998-12-05 · Asian Games
Biggest loss	0–13 vs England · 1882-02-18 · Friendly	1–8 vs Japan · 2000-10-17 · AFC Asian Cup
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.04	<0.01

When they've met

Northern Ireland and Uzbekistan have never played each other.