Head to head

Northern Ireland vs Uruguay

If they played today

Northern Ireland at home

26% / 25% / 50%

Northern Ireland win / draw / Uruguay win

Northern Ireland–Uruguay

1–1 11.8%
0–1 10.8%
1–2 9.5%
0–2 8.7%
1–0 7.3%

Neutral venue

20% / 23% / 58%

Northern Ireland win / draw / Uruguay win

Northern Ireland–Uruguay

0–1 11.4%
1–1 10.9%
0–2 10.3%
1–2 9.9%
0–0 6.3%

Uruguay at home

14% / 20% / 65%

Northern Ireland win / draw / Uruguay win

Northern Ireland–Uruguay

0–2 11.9%
0–1 11.8%
1–2 9.8%
1–1 9.7%
0–3 8.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Northern Ireland	Uruguay
Current Elo	1667	1925
Elo rank	73rd	18th
Peak Elo	1758 (1986)	2104 (2024)
Matches played	707	973
All-time record	185W 160D 362L	428W 242D 303L
Goals for	741	1537
Goals against	1296	1182
Biggest win	7–0 vs Wales · 1930-02-01 · British Home Championship	9–0 vs Bolivia · 1927-11-06 · Copa América
Biggest loss	0–13 vs England · 1882-02-18 · Friendly	0–6 vs Argentina · 1902-07-20 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	2
Expected World Cups	0.04	0.84

When they've met

Meetings

Northern Ireland 2W 0D 2L

Goals

4–2

Northern Ireland first

First meeting

3–0

Northern Ireland won · 1964-04-29 · Friendly

Most recent

0–1

Uruguay won · 2014-05-30 · Friendly

Northern Ireland's biggest win

3–0

1964-04-29 · Friendly

Uruguay's biggest win

1–0

2014-05-30 · Friendly

Most common result

0–1

Northern Ireland first · twice, last 2014-05-30

Current run

Won last 2

Uruguay · since 2006-05-21

4 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2014-05-30	0–1	Uruguay home	Friendly
2006-05-21	0–1	Neutral	Friendly
1990-05-18	1–0	Northern Ireland home	Friendly
1964-04-29	3–0	Northern Ireland home	Friendly