Head to head

Northern Ireland vs United States

If they played today

Northern Ireland at home

31% / 26% / 43%

Northern Ireland win / draw / United States win

Northern Ireland–United States

1–1 12.3%
0–1 10.2%
1–2 8.9%
1–0 8.5%
0–2 7.4%

Neutral venue

25% / 24% / 51%

Northern Ireland win / draw / United States win

Northern Ireland–United States

1–1 11.6%
0–1 10.9%
1–2 9.6%
0–2 9.0%
1–0 7.1%

United States at home

19% / 22% / 59%

Northern Ireland win / draw / United States win

Northern Ireland–United States

0–1 11.4%
1–1 10.7%
0–2 10.6%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Northern Ireland	United States
Current Elo	1667	1842
Elo rank	73rd	34th
Peak Elo	1758 (1986)	1973 (2021)
Matches played	707	795
All-time record	185W 160D 362L	354W 161D 280L
Goals for	741	1211
Goals against	1296	1056
Biggest win	7–0 vs Wales · 1930-02-01 · British Home Championship	8–0 vs Barbados · 2008-06-15 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs England · 1882-02-18 · Friendly	0–11 vs Norway · 1948-08-06 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.04	0.21

When they've met

Meetings

Northern Ireland 1W 0D 1L

Goals

6–2

Northern Ireland first

First meeting

5–0

Northern Ireland won · 1948-08-11 · Friendly

Most recent

1–2

United States won · 2021-03-28 · Friendly

Northern Ireland's biggest win

5–0

1948-08-11 · Friendly

United States' biggest win

2–1

2021-03-28 · Friendly

Current run

Won the last meeting

United States · since 2021-03-28

2 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2021-03-28	1–2	Northern Ireland home	Friendly
1948-08-11	5–0	Northern Ireland home	Friendly