Head to head

Northern Ireland vs Tonga

If they played today

Northern Ireland at home
87% / 10% / 3%
Northern Ireland win / draw / Tonga win
Northern Ireland–Tonga
  • 2–0 17.1%
  • 3–0 15.5%
  • 1–0 12.6%
  • 4–0 10.6%
  • 2–1 6.0%
Neutral venue
82% / 13% / 5%
Northern Ireland win / draw / Tonga win
Northern Ireland–Tonga
  • 2–0 15.7%
  • 3–0 13.2%
  • 1–0 12.5%
  • 4–0 8.3%
  • 2–1 7.6%
Tonga at home
76% / 16% / 8%
Northern Ireland win / draw / Tonga win
Northern Ireland–Tonga
  • 2–0 14.2%
  • 1–0 12.3%
  • 3–0 11.0%
  • 2–1 8.8%
  • 1–1 7.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

 Northern IrelandTonga
Current Elo16671056
Elo rank73rd198th
Peak Elo1758 (1986)1478 (1979)
Matches played70768
All-time record185W 160D 362L16W 6D 46L
Goals for74181
Goals against1296253
Biggest win7–0 vs Wales · 1930-02-01 · British Home Championship7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss0–13 vs England · 1882-02-18 · Friendly0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
World Cups won00
Expected World Cups0.040.00

When they've met

Northern Ireland and Tonga have never played each other.