Head to head

Northern Ireland vs Sweden

If they played today

Northern Ireland at home

35% / 26% / 39%

Northern Ireland win / draw / Sweden win

Northern Ireland–Sweden

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.9%
1–0 9.2%
1–2 8.5%
2–1 7.9%

Neutral venue

27% / 25% / 47%

Northern Ireland win / draw / Sweden win

Northern Ireland–Sweden

1–1 12.0%
0–1 10.6%
1–2 9.3%
0–2 8.3%
1–0 7.7%

Sweden at home

21% / 23% / 55%

Northern Ireland win / draw / Sweden win

Northern Ireland–Sweden

0–1 11.2%
1–1 11.1%
0–2 9.9%
1–2 9.8%
0–0 6.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Northern Ireland	Sweden
Current Elo	1667	1797
Elo rank	73rd	41st
Peak Elo	1758 (1986)	1955 (2018)
Matches played	707	1105
All-time record	185W 160D 362L	542W 234D 329L
Goals for	741	2178
Goals against	1296	1431
Biggest win	7–0 vs Wales · 1930-02-01 · British Home Championship	12–0 vs Latvia · 1927-05-29 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–13 vs England · 1882-02-18 · Friendly	0–10 vs Denmark · 1913-10-05 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.04	0.52
European Championships won	0	0
Expected European Championships	<0.01	0.31

When they've met

Meetings

Northern Ireland 3W 1D 4L

Goals

11–12

Northern Ireland first

First meeting

2–0

Northern Ireland won · 1974-10-30 · UEFA Euro qualification

Most recent

1–5

Sweden won · 2025-03-25 · Friendly

Northern Ireland's biggest win

3–0

1980-10-15 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Sweden's biggest win

5–1

2025-03-25 · Friendly

Most common result

1–2

Northern Ireland first · twice, last 1996-04-24

Current run

Unbeaten in 2

Sweden · since 2007-10-17

8 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2025-03-25	1–5	Sweden home	Friendly
2007-10-17	1–1	Sweden home	UEFA Euro qualification
2007-03-28	2–1	Northern Ireland home	UEFA Euro qualification
1996-04-24	1–2	Northern Ireland home	Friendly
1981-06-03	0–1	Sweden home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1980-10-15	3–0	Northern Ireland home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1975-09-03	1–2	Northern Ireland home	UEFA Euro qualification
1974-10-30	2–0	Sweden home	UEFA Euro qualification