Head to head

Northern Ireland vs Samoa

If they played today

Northern Ireland at home
78% / 15% / 7%
Northern Ireland win / draw / Samoa win
Northern Ireland–Samoa
  • 2–0 14.8%
  • 1–0 12.4%
  • 3–0 11.9%
  • 2–1 8.4%
  • 4–0 7.1%
Neutral venue
72% / 18% / 10%
Northern Ireland win / draw / Samoa win
Northern Ireland–Samoa
  • 2–0 13.3%
  • 1–0 12.1%
  • 3–0 9.8%
  • 2–1 9.3%
  • 1–1 8.5%
Samoa at home
65% / 21% / 15%
Northern Ireland win / draw / Samoa win
Northern Ireland–Samoa
  • 2–0 11.8%
  • 1–0 11.8%
  • 2–1 9.8%
  • 1–1 9.8%
  • 3–0 7.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

 Northern IrelandSamoa
Current Elo16671216
Elo rank73rd179th
Peak Elo1758 (1986)1447 (1979)
Matches played70771
All-time record185W 160D 362L22W 4D 45L
Goals for74199
Goals against1296249
Biggest win7–0 vs Wales · 1930-02-01 · British Home Championship10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss0–13 vs England · 1882-02-18 · Friendly0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
World Cups won00
Expected World Cups0.040.00

When they've met

Northern Ireland and Samoa have never played each other.