Head to head

Northern Ireland vs Poland

If they played today

Northern Ireland at home

36% / 26% / 38%

Northern Ireland win / draw / Poland win

Northern Ireland–Poland

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.8%
1–0 9.5%
1–2 8.3%
2–1 8.0%

Neutral venue

29% / 25% / 46%

Northern Ireland win / draw / Poland win

Northern Ireland–Poland

1–1 12.1%
0–1 10.5%
1–2 9.2%
0–2 8.0%
1–0 7.9%

Poland at home

22% / 24% / 54%

Northern Ireland win / draw / Poland win

Northern Ireland–Poland

1–1 11.3%
0–1 11.1%
1–2 9.7%
0–2 9.6%
1–0 6.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Northern Ireland	Poland
Current Elo	1667	1779
Elo rank	73rd	44th
Peak Elo	1758 (1986)	1937 (1975)
Matches played	707	892
All-time record	185W 160D 362L	384W 225D 283L
Goals for	741	1499
Goals against	1296	1201
Biggest win	7–0 vs Wales · 1930-02-01 · British Home Championship	10–0 vs San Marino · 2009-04-01 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs England · 1882-02-18 · Friendly	0–8 vs Denmark · 1948-06-26 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.04	0.24
European Championships won	0	0
Expected European Championships	<0.01	0.10

When they've met

Meetings

Northern Ireland 4W 2D 4L

Goals

13–14

Northern Ireland first

First meeting

2–0

Northern Ireland won · 1962-10-10 · UEFA Euro qualification

Most recent

0–1

Poland won · 2016-06-12 · UEFA Euro

Northern Ireland's biggest win

3–1

1991-02-05 · Friendly

Poland's biggest win

4–1

2002-02-13 · Friendly

Most common result

0–1

Northern Ireland first · twice, last 2016-06-12

Current run

Unbeaten in 2

Poland · since 2009-09-05

10 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2016-06-12	0–1	Neutral	UEFA Euro
2009-09-05	1–1	Poland home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2009-03-28	3–2	Northern Ireland home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2005-03-30	0–1	Poland home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2004-09-04	0–3	Northern Ireland home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2002-02-13	1–4	Neutral	Friendly
1991-02-05	3–1	Northern Ireland home	Friendly
1988-03-23	1–1	Northern Ireland home	Friendly
1962-11-28	2–0	Northern Ireland home	UEFA Euro qualification
1962-10-10	2–0	Poland home	UEFA Euro qualification