Head to head

Northern Ireland vs Paraguay

If they played today

Northern Ireland at home

27% / 25% / 48%

Northern Ireland win / draw / Paraguay win

Northern Ireland–Paraguay

1–1 11.9%
0–1 10.7%
1–2 9.4%
0–2 8.4%
1–0 7.6%

Neutral venue

21% / 23% / 56%

Northern Ireland win / draw / Paraguay win

Northern Ireland–Paraguay

0–1 11.2%
1–1 11.1%
0–2 9.9%
1–2 9.8%
0–0 6.4%

Paraguay at home

16% / 21% / 63%

Northern Ireland win / draw / Paraguay win

Northern Ireland–Paraguay

0–1 11.7%
0–2 11.5%
1–1 10.0%
1–2 9.8%
0–3 7.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Northern Ireland	Paraguay
Current Elo	1667	1901
Elo rank	73rd	23rd
Peak Elo	1758 (1986)	1927 (2025)
Matches played	707	788
All-time record	185W 160D 362L	276W 210D 302L
Goals for	741	1006
Goals against	1296	1119
Biggest win	7–0 vs Wales · 1930-02-01 · British Home Championship	7–0 vs Hong Kong · 2010-11-17 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–13 vs England · 1882-02-18 · Friendly	0–8 vs Argentina · 1926-10-20 · Copa América
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.04	0.23

When they've met

Northern Ireland and Paraguay have never played each other.