Head to head

Nigeria vs Tonga

If they played today

Nigeria at home

95% / 5% / 0%

Nigeria win / draw / Tonga win

Nigeria–Tonga

3–0 20.9%
2–0 19.9%
4–0 16.5%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 10.4%

Neutral venue

92% / 7% / 1%

Nigeria win / draw / Tonga win

Nigeria–Tonga

2–0 18.7%
3–0 18.4%
4–0 13.6%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 8.0%

Tonga at home

88% / 10% / 3%

Nigeria win / draw / Tonga win

Nigeria–Tonga

2–0 17.3%
3–0 15.9%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 11.0%
5–0 6.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Nigeria	Tonga
Current Elo	1883	1056
Elo rank	26th	198th
Peak Elo	1896 (2006)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	661	68
All-time record	311W 192D 158L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	1008	81
Goals against	662	253
Biggest win	10–0 vs São Tomé and Príncipe · 2022-06-13 · African Cup of Nations qualification	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–7 vs Ghana · 1955-10-30 · Friendly	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.00

When they've met

Nigeria and Tonga have never played each other.