Head to head

Nigeria vs Samoa

If they played today

Nigeria at home

89% / 9% / 2%

Nigeria win / draw / Samoa win

Nigeria–Samoa

2–0 17.9%
3–0 16.9%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 12.0%
5–0 6.8%

Neutral venue

85% / 11% / 4%

Nigeria win / draw / Samoa win

Nigeria–Samoa

2–0 16.5%
3–0 14.5%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 9.5%
2–1 6.8%

Samoa at home

79% / 14% / 6%

Nigeria win / draw / Samoa win

Nigeria–Samoa

2–0 15.1%
1–0 12.4%
3–0 12.2%
2–1 8.2%
4–0 7.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Nigeria	Samoa
Current Elo	1883	1216
Elo rank	26th	179th
Peak Elo	1896 (2006)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	661	71
All-time record	311W 192D 158L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	1008	99
Goals against	662	249
Biggest win	10–0 vs São Tomé and Príncipe · 2022-06-13 · African Cup of Nations qualification	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–7 vs Ghana · 1955-10-30 · Friendly	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.00

When they've met

Nigeria and Samoa have never played each other.