Head to head

Nicaragua vs Samoa

If they played today

Nicaragua at home

66% / 20% / 14%

Nicaragua win / draw / Samoa win

Nicaragua–Samoa

2–0 12.2%
1–0 11.9%
2–1 9.7%
1–1 9.5%
3–0 8.3%

Neutral venue

59% / 22% / 19%

Nicaragua win / draw / Samoa win

Nicaragua–Samoa

1–0 11.4%
1–1 10.7%
2–0 10.6%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.5%

Samoa at home

51% / 24% / 25%

Nicaragua win / draw / Samoa win

Nicaragua–Samoa

1–1 11.6%
1–0 10.9%
2–1 9.6%
2–0 9.0%
0–1 7.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Nicaragua	Samoa
Current Elo	1491	1216
Elo rank	115th	179th
Peak Elo	1539 (2024)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	222	71
All-time record	51W 27D 144L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	234	99
Goals against	534	249
Biggest win	7–0 vs Turks and Caicos Islands · 2021-03-27 · FIFA World Cup qualification	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–10 vs Honduras · 1946-03-13 · CCCF Championship	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Nicaragua and Samoa have never played each other.