Head to head

New Zealand vs Tonga

If they played today

New Zealand at home
88% / 10% / 3%
New Zealand win / draw / Tonga win
New Zealand–Tonga
  • 2–0 17.4%
  • 3–0 16.1%
  • 1–0 12.6%
  • 4–0 11.1%
  • 5–0 6.1%
Neutral venue
83% / 12% / 5%
New Zealand win / draw / Tonga win
New Zealand–Tonga
  • 2–0 16.0%
  • 3–0 13.7%
  • 1–0 12.5%
  • 4–0 8.8%
  • 2–1 7.3%
Tonga at home
77% / 15% / 7%
New Zealand win / draw / Tonga win
New Zealand–Tonga
  • 2–0 14.6%
  • 1–0 12.3%
  • 3–0 11.5%
  • 2–1 8.6%
  • 1–1 7.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

 New ZealandTonga
Current Elo16891056
Elo rank68th198th
Peak Elo1825 (2025)1478 (1979)
Matches played41968
All-time record172W 74D 173L16W 6D 46L
Goals for73381
Goals against634253
Biggest win13–0 vs Fiji · 1981-08-16 · FIFA World Cup qualification7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss0–10 vs Australia · 1936-07-11 · Soccer Ashes0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
World Cups won00
Expected World Cups0.020.00
OFC Nations Cups won60
Expected OFC Nations Cups2.190.00

When they've met

New Zealand and Tonga have never played each other.