Head to head

New Zealand vs Samoa

If they played today

New Zealand at home
80% / 14% / 6%
New Zealand win / draw / Samoa win
New Zealand–Samoa
  • 2–0 15.2%
  • 1–0 12.4%
  • 3–0 12.4%
  • 2–1 8.1%
  • 4–0 7.6%
Neutral venue
73% / 17% / 10%
New Zealand win / draw / Samoa win
New Zealand–Samoa
  • 2–0 13.7%
  • 1–0 12.2%
  • 3–0 10.2%
  • 2–1 9.1%
  • 1–1 8.1%
Samoa at home
66% / 20% / 14%
New Zealand win / draw / Samoa win
New Zealand–Samoa
  • 2–0 12.1%
  • 1–0 11.9%
  • 2–1 9.7%
  • 1–1 9.5%
  • 3–0 8.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

 New ZealandSamoa
Current Elo16891216
Elo rank68th179th
Peak Elo1825 (2025)1447 (1979)
Matches played41971
All-time record172W 74D 173L22W 4D 45L
Goals for73399
Goals against634249
Biggest win13–0 vs Fiji · 1981-08-16 · FIFA World Cup qualification10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss0–10 vs Australia · 1936-07-11 · Soccer Ashes0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
World Cups won00
Expected World Cups0.020.00
OFC Nations Cups won60
Expected OFC Nations Cups2.190.03

When they've met

Meetings
1
New Zealand 1W 0D 0L
Goals
8–0
New Zealand first
First meeting
8–0
New Zealand won · 2024-11-18 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Most recent
8–0
New Zealand won · 2024-11-18 · FIFA World Cup qualification
1 meeting
DateScoreVenueCompetition
2024-11-188–0New Zealand homeFIFA World Cup qualification