Head to head

New Zealand vs Rwanda

If they played today

New Zealand at home

64% / 21% / 15%

New Zealand win / draw / Rwanda win

New Zealand–Rwanda

1–0 11.7%
2–0 11.6%
1–1 9.9%
2–1 9.8%
3–0 7.7%

Neutral venue

56% / 23% / 21%

New Zealand win / draw / Rwanda win

New Zealand–Rwanda

1–0 11.3%
1–1 11.0%
2–0 10.0%
2–1 9.8%
0–0 6.3%

Rwanda at home

48% / 25% / 27%

New Zealand win / draw / Rwanda win

New Zealand–Rwanda

1–1 11.9%
1–0 10.7%
2–1 9.4%
2–0 8.5%
0–1 7.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	New Zealand	Rwanda
Current Elo	1689	1448
Elo rank	68th	128th
Peak Elo	1825 (2025)	1532 (2015)
Matches played	419	280
All-time record	172W 74D 173L	88W 74D 118L
Goals for	733	289
Goals against	634	336
Biggest win	13–0 vs Fiji · 1981-08-16 · FIFA World Cup qualification	9–0 vs Djibouti · 2007-12-13 · CECAFA Cup
Biggest loss	0–10 vs Australia · 1936-07-11 · Soccer Ashes	1–6 vs DR Congo · 1976-07-03 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.02	0.00

When they've met

New Zealand and Rwanda have never played each other.