Head to head

New Zealand vs Poland

If they played today

New Zealand at home

38% / 26% / 36%

New Zealand win / draw / Poland win

New Zealand–Poland

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.7%
0–1 9.5%
2–1 8.3%
1–2 8.1%

Neutral venue

30% / 26% / 44%

New Zealand win / draw / Poland win

New Zealand–Poland

1–1 12.2%
0–1 10.4%
1–2 9.0%
1–0 8.3%
0–2 7.7%

Poland at home

24% / 24% / 52%

New Zealand win / draw / Poland win

New Zealand–Poland

1–1 11.5%
0–1 11.0%
1–2 9.7%
0–2 9.2%
1–0 6.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	New Zealand	Poland
Current Elo	1689	1779
Elo rank	68th	44th
Peak Elo	1825 (2025)	1937 (1975)
Matches played	419	892
All-time record	172W 74D 173L	384W 225D 283L
Goals for	733	1499
Goals against	634	1201
Biggest win	13–0 vs Fiji · 1981-08-16 · FIFA World Cup qualification	10–0 vs San Marino · 2009-04-01 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–10 vs Australia · 1936-07-11 · Soccer Ashes	0–8 vs Denmark · 1948-06-26 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.02	0.24

When they've met

Meetings

New Zealand 0W 1D 2L

Goals

0–3

New Zealand first

First meeting

0–0

Drawn · 1999-06-19 · Four Nations' Cup

Most recent

0–1

Poland won · 2025-10-09 · Friendly

New Zealand's biggest win

—

Never beaten Poland

Poland's biggest win

2–0

2002-10-16 · Friendly

Current run

Unbeaten in 3

Poland · since 1999-06-19

3 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2025-10-09	0–1	Poland home	Friendly
2002-10-16	0–2	Poland home	Friendly
1999-06-19	0–0	Neutral	Four Nations' Cup