Head to head

New Caledonia vs Tonga

If they played today

New Caledonia at home

83% / 12% / 5%

New Caledonia win / draw / Tonga win

New Caledonia–Tonga

2–0 16.1%
3–0 13.8%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 8.8%
2–1 7.3%

Neutral venue

77% / 15% / 7%

New Caledonia win / draw / Tonga win

New Caledonia–Tonga

2–0 14.6%
1–0 12.3%
3–0 11.5%
2–1 8.6%
1–1 7.2%

Tonga at home

71% / 18% / 11%

New Caledonia win / draw / Tonga win

New Caledonia–Tonga

2–0 13.1%
1–0 12.1%
3–0 9.5%
2–1 9.4%
1–1 8.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	New Caledonia	Tonga
Current Elo	1591	1056
Elo rank	85th	198th
Peak Elo	1699 (2008)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	265	68
All-time record	136W 34D 95L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	698	81
Goals against	369	253
Biggest win	18–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-01 · South Pacific Games	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–11 vs Australia · 2002-07-08 · Oceania Nations Cup	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
OFC Nations Cups won	0	0
Expected OFC Nations Cups	1.24	0.00

When they've met

Meetings

New Caledonia 6W 0D 0L

Goals

43–2

New Caledonia first

First meeting

11–0

New Caledonia won · 1993-12-13 · South Pacific Mini Games

Most recent

7–0

New Caledonia won · 2023-11-18 · Pacific Games

New Caledonia's biggest win

11–0

1993-12-13 · South Pacific Mini Games

Tonga's biggest win

—

Never beaten New Caledonia

Current run

Won last 6

New Caledonia · since 1993-12-13

6 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2023-11-18	7–0	Neutral	Pacific Games
2017-12-09	4–2	Neutral	Pacific Mini Games
2004-05-19	8–0	Neutral	FIFA World Cup qualification
2003-07-03	4–0	Neutral	South Pacific Games
2002-03-16	9–0	Neutral	Oceania Nations Cup qualification
1993-12-13	11–0	Neutral	South Pacific Mini Games