Head to head

New Caledonia vs Samoa

If they played today

New Caledonia at home

73% / 17% / 9%

New Caledonia win / draw / Samoa win

New Caledonia–Samoa

2–0 13.7%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.3%
2–1 9.1%
1–1 8.1%

Neutral venue

66% / 20% / 14%

New Caledonia win / draw / Samoa win

New Caledonia–Samoa

2–0 12.2%
1–0 11.9%
2–1 9.7%
1–1 9.5%
3–0 8.3%

Samoa at home

59% / 22% / 19%

New Caledonia win / draw / Samoa win

New Caledonia–Samoa

1–0 11.4%
1–1 10.7%
2–0 10.6%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	New Caledonia	Samoa
Current Elo	1591	1216
Elo rank	85th	179th
Peak Elo	1699 (2008)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	265	71
All-time record	136W 34D 95L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	698	99
Goals against	369	249
Biggest win	18–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-01 · South Pacific Games	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–11 vs Australia · 2002-07-08 · Oceania Nations Cup	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
OFC Nations Cups won	0	0
Expected OFC Nations Cups	1.24	0.03

When they've met

Meetings

New Caledonia 4W 0D 0L

Goals

29–0

New Caledonia first

First meeting

8–0

New Caledonia won · 1981-07-14 · South Pacific Mini Games

Most recent

7–0

New Caledonia won · 2016-06-01 · Oceania Nations Cup

New Caledonia's biggest win

9–0

2012-06-05 · Oceania Nations Cup

Samoa's biggest win

—

Never beaten New Caledonia

Current run

Won last 4

New Caledonia · since 1981-07-14

4 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2016-06-01	7–0	Neutral	Oceania Nations Cup
2012-06-05	9–0	Neutral	Oceania Nations Cup
2002-03-18	5–0	Samoa home	Oceania Nations Cup qualification
1981-07-14	8–0	Neutral	South Pacific Mini Games