Head to head

Netherlands vs Samoa

If they played today

Netherlands at home

95% / 5% / 0%

Netherlands win / draw / Samoa win

Netherlands–Samoa

3–0 21.1%
2–0 20.0%
4–0 16.7%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 10.5%

Neutral venue

92% / 7% / 1%

Netherlands win / draw / Samoa win

Netherlands–Samoa

2–0 18.7%
3–0 18.5%
4–0 13.7%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 8.1%

Samoa at home

88% / 10% / 3%

Netherlands win / draw / Samoa win

Netherlands–Samoa

2–0 17.4%
3–0 16.0%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 11.1%
5–0 6.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Netherlands	Samoa
Current Elo	2048	1216
Elo rank	8th	179th
Peak Elo	2198 (2014)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	883	71
All-time record	455W 200D 228L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	1852	99
Goals against	1081	249
Biggest win	11–0 vs San Marino · 2011-09-02 · UEFA Euro qualification	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–7 vs Germany · 1959-10-21 · Friendly	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.83	0.00

When they've met

Netherlands and Samoa have never played each other.