Head to head

Nepal vs Tajikistan

If they played today

Nepal at home

21% / 23% / 56%

Nepal win / draw / Tajikistan win

Nepal–Tajikistan

0–1 11.2%
1–1 11.1%
0–2 9.9%
1–2 9.8%
0–0 6.4%

Neutral venue

16% / 21% / 63%

Nepal win / draw / Tajikistan win

Nepal–Tajikistan

0–1 11.7%
0–2 11.5%
1–1 10.0%
1–2 9.8%
0–3 7.6%

Tajikistan at home

11% / 18% / 71%

Nepal win / draw / Tajikistan win

Nepal–Tajikistan

0–2 13.1%
0–1 12.1%
0–3 9.5%
1–2 9.4%
1–1 8.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Nepal	Tajikistan
Current Elo	1103	1438
Elo rank	193rd	137th
Peak Elo	1495 (1972)	1569 (1997)
Matches played	268	201
All-time record	63W 47D 158L	78W 43D 80L
Goals for	229	299
Goals against	602	278
Biggest win	7–0 vs Bhutan · 1999-09-26 · South Asian Games	16–0 vs Guam · 2000-11-26 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–16 vs South Korea · 2003-09-29 · AFC Asian Cup qualification	0–8 vs Japan · 2011-10-11 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
AFC Asian Cups won	0	0
Expected AFC Asian Cups	0.00	<0.01

When they've met

Meetings

Nepal 0W 0D 3L

Goals

1–9

Nepal first

First meeting

1–2

Tajikistan won · 2017-09-05 · AFC Asian Cup qualification

Most recent

0–4

Tajikistan won · 2024-11-13 · Friendly

Nepal's biggest win

—

Never beaten Tajikistan

Tajikistan's biggest win

4–0

2024-11-13 · Friendly

Current run

Won last 3

Tajikistan · since 2017-09-05

3 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2024-11-13	0–4	Tajikistan home	Friendly
2017-10-10	0–3	Tajikistan home	AFC Asian Cup qualification
2017-09-05	1–2	Nepal home	AFC Asian Cup qualification