Head to head

Nepal vs Sri Lanka

If they played today

Nepal at home

52% / 24% / 23%

Nepal win / draw / Sri Lanka win

Nepal–Sri Lanka

1–1 11.5%
1–0 11.0%
2–1 9.7%
2–0 9.3%
0–1 6.8%

Neutral venue

44% / 26% / 30%

Nepal win / draw / Sri Lanka win

Nepal–Sri Lanka

1–1 12.2%
1–0 10.4%
2–1 9.1%
0–1 8.2%
2–0 7.7%

Sri Lanka at home

36% / 26% / 37%

Nepal win / draw / Sri Lanka win

Nepal–Sri Lanka

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.7%
1–0 9.5%
1–2 8.2%
2–1 8.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Nepal	Sri Lanka
Current Elo	1103	1011
Elo rank	193rd	202nd
Peak Elo	1495 (1972)	1489 (1952)
Matches played	268	251
All-time record	63W 47D 158L	49W 47D 155L
Goals for	229	237
Goals against	602	576
Biggest win	7–0 vs Bhutan · 1999-09-26 · South Asian Games	7–1 vs Pakistan · 2008-04-04 · AFC Challenge Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–16 vs South Korea · 2003-09-29 · AFC Asian Cup qualification	1–12 vs German DR · 1964-01-12 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Meetings

Nepal 5W 6D 6L

Goals

23–27

Nepal first

First meeting

0–4

Sri Lanka won · 1984-10-22 · AFC Asian Cup qualification

Most recent

3–2

Nepal won · 2021-10-04 · SAFF Cup

Nepal's biggest win

3–0

2008-08-04 · AFC Challenge Cup

Sri Lanka's biggest win

4–0

1984-10-22 · AFC Asian Cup qualification

Most common result

3–2

Nepal first · twice, last 2021-10-04

Current run

Won last 2

Nepal · since 2016-01-13

17 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2021-10-04	3–2	Neutral	SAFF Cup
2016-01-13	1–0	Neutral	Friendly
2015-12-23	0–1	Neutral	SAFF Cup
2011-04-11	0–0	Nepal home	AFC Challenge Cup qualification
2009-03-14	4–2	Nepal home	Friendly
2008-08-04	3–0	Neutral	AFC Challenge Cup
2006-04-12	1–1	Neutral	AFC Challenge Cup
2006-04-06	1–1	Neutral	AFC Challenge Cup
1999-04-25	3–2	Neutral	SAFF Cup
1997-09-08	1–3	Nepal home	SAFF Cup
1996-06-21	0–2	Neutral	AFC Asian Cup qualification
1996-06-14	1–3	Neutral	AFC Asian Cup qualification
1995-12-27	0–0	Neutral	South Asian Games
1995-03-31	1–2	Sri Lanka home	SAFF Cup
1991-12-22	2–2	Sri Lanka home	South Asian Games
1986-04-27	2–2	Neutral	Friendly
1984-10-22	0–4	Neutral	AFC Asian Cup qualification