Head to head

Nepal vs Samoa

If they played today

Nepal at home

36% / 26% / 38%

Nepal win / draw / Samoa win

Nepal–Samoa

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.8%
1–0 9.4%
1–2 8.3%
2–1 8.0%

Neutral venue

29% / 25% / 46%

Nepal win / draw / Samoa win

Nepal–Samoa

1–1 12.1%
0–1 10.5%
1–2 9.2%
0–2 8.0%
1–0 7.9%

Samoa at home

22% / 24% / 54%

Nepal win / draw / Samoa win

Nepal–Samoa

1–1 11.3%
0–1 11.1%
1–2 9.8%
0–2 9.6%
1–0 6.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Nepal	Samoa
Current Elo	1103	1216
Elo rank	193rd	179th
Peak Elo	1495 (1972)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	268	71
All-time record	63W 47D 158L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	229	99
Goals against	602	249
Biggest win	7–0 vs Bhutan · 1999-09-26 · South Asian Games	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–16 vs South Korea · 2003-09-29 · AFC Asian Cup qualification	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Nepal and Samoa have never played each other.