Head to head

Mozambique vs Uganda

If they played today

Mozambique at home

43% / 26% / 31%

Mozambique win / draw / Uganda win

Mozambique–Uganda

1–1 12.3%
1–0 10.3%
2–1 9.0%
0–1 8.4%
2–0 7.5%

Neutral venue

35% / 26% / 38%

Mozambique win / draw / Uganda win

Mozambique–Uganda

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.8%
1–0 9.3%
1–2 8.4%
2–1 8.0%

Uganda at home

28% / 25% / 46%

Mozambique win / draw / Uganda win

Mozambique–Uganda

1–1 12.0%
0–1 10.6%
1–2 9.3%
0–2 8.1%
1–0 7.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mozambique	Uganda
Current Elo	1495	1514
Elo rank	112th	105th
Peak Elo	1576 (2025)	1707 (1978)
Matches played	375	685
All-time record	118W 95D 162L	285W 182D 218L
Goals for	387	1030
Goals against	485	809
Biggest win	6–1 vs Lesotho · 1980-08-10 · African Cup of Nations qualification	13–1 vs Kenya · 1932-08-25 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–6 vs Zimbabwe · 1980-04-20 · Friendly	1–8 vs Nigeria · 1991-09-23 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.09	0.56

When they've met

Meetings

Mozambique 1W 0D 1L

Goals

3–5

Mozambique first

First meeting

3–1

Mozambique won · 2025-03-20 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most recent

0–4

Uganda won · 2025-09-05 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Mozambique's biggest win

3–1

2025-03-20 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Uganda's biggest win

4–0

2025-09-05 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Current run

Won the last meeting

Uganda · since 2025-09-05

2 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2025-09-05	0–4	Uganda home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2025-03-20	3–1	Neutral	FIFA World Cup qualification