Head to head

Mozambique vs Samoa

If they played today

Mozambique at home

67% / 20% / 13%

Mozambique win / draw / Samoa win

Mozambique–Samoa

2–0 12.2%
1–0 11.9%
2–1 9.7%
1–1 9.4%
3–0 8.4%

Neutral venue

59% / 22% / 18%

Mozambique win / draw / Samoa win

Mozambique–Samoa

1–0 11.5%
2–0 10.6%
1–1 10.6%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.6%

Samoa at home

51% / 24% / 24%

Mozambique win / draw / Samoa win

Mozambique–Samoa

1–1 11.6%
1–0 10.9%
2–1 9.6%
2–0 9.1%
0–1 7.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mozambique	Samoa
Current Elo	1495	1216
Elo rank	112th	179th
Peak Elo	1576 (2025)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	375	71
All-time record	118W 95D 162L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	387	99
Goals against	485	249
Biggest win	6–1 vs Lesotho · 1980-08-10 · African Cup of Nations qualification	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–6 vs Zimbabwe · 1980-04-20 · Friendly	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Mozambique and Samoa have never played each other.