Head to head

Mozambique vs Rwanda

If they played today

Mozambique at home

49% / 25% / 26%

Mozambique win / draw / Rwanda win

Mozambique–Rwanda

1–1 11.9%
1–0 10.7%
2–1 9.4%
2–0 8.6%
0–1 7.4%

Neutral venue

41% / 26% / 33%

Mozambique win / draw / Rwanda win

Mozambique–Rwanda

1–1 12.4%
1–0 10.0%
0–1 8.9%
2–1 8.7%
1–2 7.7%

Rwanda at home

33% / 26% / 41%

Mozambique win / draw / Rwanda win

Mozambique–Rwanda

1–1 12.4%
0–1 10.1%
1–0 8.8%
1–2 8.7%
2–1 7.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mozambique	Rwanda
Current Elo	1495	1448
Elo rank	112th	128th
Peak Elo	1576 (2025)	1532 (2015)
Matches played	375	280
All-time record	118W 95D 162L	88W 74D 118L
Goals for	387	289
Goals against	485	336
Biggest win	6–1 vs Lesotho · 1980-08-10 · African Cup of Nations qualification	9–0 vs Djibouti · 2007-12-13 · CECAFA Cup
Biggest loss	0–6 vs Zimbabwe · 1980-04-20 · Friendly	1–6 vs DR Congo · 1976-07-03 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.09	<0.01

When they've met

Meetings

Mozambique 3W 1D 2L

Goals

8–5

Mozambique first

First meeting

0–1

Rwanda won · 2015-06-14 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Most recent

2–0

Mozambique won · 2023-06-18 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Mozambique's biggest win

2–0

2023-06-18 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Rwanda's biggest win

1–0

2021-03-24 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Most common result

2–0

Mozambique first · twice, last 2023-06-18

Current run

Unbeaten in 2

Mozambique · since 2022-06-02

6 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2023-06-18	2–0	Rwanda home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2022-06-02	1–1	Neutral	African Cup of Nations qualification
2021-03-24	0–1	Rwanda home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2019-11-14	2–0	Mozambique home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2016-06-04	3–2	Rwanda home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2015-06-14	0–1	Mozambique home	African Cup of Nations qualification