Head to head

Mozambique vs New Caledonia

If they played today

Mozambique at home

37% / 26% / 37%

Mozambique win / draw / New Caledonia win

Mozambique–New Caledonia

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.7%
0–1 9.6%
2–1 8.2%
1–2 8.1%

Neutral venue

30% / 26% / 45%

Mozambique win / draw / New Caledonia win

Mozambique–New Caledonia

1–1 12.2%
0–1 10.4%
1–2 9.1%
1–0 8.2%
0–2 7.8%

New Caledonia at home

23% / 24% / 53%

Mozambique win / draw / New Caledonia win

Mozambique–New Caledonia

1–1 11.5%
0–1 11.0%
1–2 9.7%
0–2 9.3%
1–0 6.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mozambique	New Caledonia
Current Elo	1495	1591
Elo rank	112th	85th
Peak Elo	1576 (2025)	1699 (2008)
Matches played	375	265
All-time record	118W 95D 162L	136W 34D 95L
Goals for	387	698
Goals against	485	369
Biggest win	6–1 vs Lesotho · 1980-08-10 · African Cup of Nations qualification	18–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-01 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–6 vs Zimbabwe · 1980-04-20 · Friendly	0–11 vs Australia · 2002-07-08 · Oceania Nations Cup
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Mozambique and New Caledonia have never played each other.