Head to head

Montserrat vs Samoa

If they played today

Montserrat at home

47% / 25% / 28%

Montserrat win / draw / Samoa win

Montserrat–Samoa

1–1 12.0%
1–0 10.6%
2–1 9.3%
2–0 8.1%
0–1 7.8%

Neutral venue

38% / 26% / 35%

Montserrat win / draw / Samoa win

Montserrat–Samoa

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.8%
0–1 9.3%
2–1 8.4%
1–2 8.0%

Samoa at home

31% / 26% / 43%

Montserrat win / draw / Samoa win

Montserrat–Samoa

1–1 12.3%
0–1 10.3%
1–2 9.0%
1–0 8.4%
0–2 7.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Montserrat	Samoa
Current Elo	1236	1216
Elo rank	176th	179th
Peak Elo	1463 (1991)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	66	71
All-time record	17W 7D 42L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	72	99
Goals against	195	249
Biggest win	7–0 vs British Virgin Islands · 2012-09-09 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Bermuda · 2004-02-29 · FIFA World Cup qualification	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Montserrat and Samoa have never played each other.