Head to head

Mongolia vs Tonga

If they played today

Mongolia at home

39% / 26% / 35%

Mongolia win / draw / Tonga win

Mongolia–Tonga

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.9%
0–1 9.3%
2–1 8.4%
1–2 7.9%

Neutral venue

31% / 26% / 43%

Mongolia win / draw / Tonga win

Mongolia–Tonga

1–1 12.3%
0–1 10.3%
1–2 8.9%
1–0 8.5%
0–2 7.4%

Tonga at home

24% / 24% / 51%

Mongolia win / draw / Tonga win

Mongolia–Tonga

1–1 11.6%
0–1 10.9%
1–2 9.6%
0–2 9.0%
1–0 7.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mongolia	Tonga
Current Elo	980	1056
Elo rank	207th	198th
Peak Elo	1474 (1942)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	103	68
All-time record	25W 9D 69L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	117	81
Goals against	316	253
Biggest win	9–0 vs Northern Mariana Islands · 2018-09-04 · EAFF Championship	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–15 vs Uzbekistan · 1998-12-05 · Asian Games	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Mongolia and Tonga have never played each other.