Head to head

Mongolia vs Samoa

If they played today

Mongolia at home

27% / 25% / 48%

Mongolia win / draw / Samoa win

Mongolia–Samoa

1–1 11.9%
0–1 10.7%
1–2 9.4%
0–2 8.4%
1–0 7.6%

Neutral venue

21% / 23% / 56%

Mongolia win / draw / Samoa win

Mongolia–Samoa

0–1 11.2%
1–1 11.1%
0–2 10.0%
1–2 9.8%
0–0 6.3%

Samoa at home

15% / 21% / 64%

Mongolia win / draw / Samoa win

Mongolia–Samoa

0–1 11.7%
0–2 11.5%
1–1 10.0%
1–2 9.8%
0–3 7.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mongolia	Samoa
Current Elo	980	1216
Elo rank	207th	179th
Peak Elo	1474 (1942)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	103	71
All-time record	25W 9D 69L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	117	99
Goals against	316	249
Biggest win	9–0 vs Northern Mariana Islands · 2018-09-04 · EAFF Championship	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–15 vs Uzbekistan · 1998-12-05 · Asian Games	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Mongolia and Samoa have never played each other.