Head to head

Moldova vs Sweden

If they played today

Moldova at home

13% / 20% / 67%

Moldova win / draw / Sweden win

Moldova–Sweden

0–2 12.2%
0–1 11.9%
1–2 9.7%
1–1 9.4%
0–3 8.4%

Neutral venue

9% / 17% / 74%

Moldova win / draw / Sweden win

Moldova–Sweden

0–2 13.7%
0–1 12.2%
0–3 10.3%
1–2 9.1%
1–1 8.1%

Sweden at home

6% / 14% / 80%

Moldova win / draw / Sweden win

Moldova–Sweden

0–2 15.2%
0–3 12.5%
0–1 12.4%
1–2 8.1%
0–4 7.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Moldova	Sweden
Current Elo	1319	1797
Elo rank	165th	41st
Peak Elo	1566 (1994)	1955 (2018)
Matches played	299	1105
All-time record	58W 70D 171L	542W 234D 329L
Goals for	243	2178
Goals against	522	1431
Biggest win	5–0 vs Pakistan · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	12–0 vs Latvia · 1927-05-29 · Friendly
Biggest loss	1–11 vs Norway · 2025-09-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification	0–10 vs Denmark · 1913-10-05 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.52
European Championships won	0	0
Expected European Championships	0.00	0.31

When they've met

Meetings

Moldova 0W 0D 9L

Goals

4–24

Moldova first

First meeting

0–2

Sweden won · 2001-03-28 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most recent

1–3

Sweden won · 2023-10-12 · Friendly

Moldova's biggest win

—

Never beaten Sweden

Sweden's biggest win

6–0

2001-06-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most common result

0–2

Moldova first · 3 times, last 2015-10-12

Current run

Won last 9

Sweden · since 2001-03-28

9 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2023-10-12	1–3	Sweden home	Friendly
2020-01-09	0–1	Neutral	Friendly
2015-10-12	0–2	Sweden home	UEFA Euro qualification
2015-03-27	0–2	Moldova home	UEFA Euro qualification
2014-01-17	1–2	Neutral	Friendly
2011-06-03	1–4	Moldova home	UEFA Euro qualification
2011-03-29	1–2	Sweden home	UEFA Euro qualification
2001-06-06	0–6	Sweden home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2001-03-28	0–2	Moldova home	FIFA World Cup qualification