Head to head

Moldova vs Samoa

If they played today

Moldova at home

53% / 24% / 23%

Moldova win / draw / Samoa win

Moldova–Samoa

1–1 11.4%
1–0 11.1%
2–1 9.7%
2–0 9.4%
0–1 6.7%

Neutral venue

45% / 26% / 29%

Moldova win / draw / Samoa win

Moldova–Samoa

1–1 12.1%
1–0 10.4%
2–1 9.1%
0–1 8.1%
2–0 7.9%

Samoa at home

37% / 26% / 37%

Moldova win / draw / Samoa win

Moldova–Samoa

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.7%
0–1 9.6%
2–1 8.2%
1–2 8.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Moldova	Samoa
Current Elo	1319	1216
Elo rank	165th	179th
Peak Elo	1566 (1994)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	299	71
All-time record	58W 70D 171L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	243	99
Goals against	522	249
Biggest win	5–0 vs Pakistan · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	1–11 vs Norway · 2025-09-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Moldova and Samoa have never played each other.