Head to head

Moldova vs New Caledonia

If they played today

Moldova at home

25% / 25% / 51%

Moldova win / draw / New Caledonia win

Moldova–New Caledonia

1–1 11.7%
0–1 10.9%
1–2 9.6%
0–2 8.9%
1–0 7.1%

Neutral venue

19% / 23% / 59%

Moldova win / draw / New Caledonia win

Moldova–New Caledonia

0–1 11.4%
1–1 10.7%
0–2 10.5%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.5%

New Caledonia at home

14% / 20% / 66%

Moldova win / draw / New Caledonia win

Moldova–New Caledonia

0–2 12.1%
0–1 11.8%
1–2 9.7%
1–1 9.5%
0–3 8.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Moldova	New Caledonia
Current Elo	1319	1591
Elo rank	165th	85th
Peak Elo	1566 (1994)	1699 (2008)
Matches played	299	265
All-time record	58W 70D 171L	136W 34D 95L
Goals for	243	698
Goals against	522	369
Biggest win	5–0 vs Pakistan · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	18–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-01 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	1–11 vs Norway · 2025-09-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification	0–11 vs Australia · 2002-07-08 · Oceania Nations Cup
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Moldova and New Caledonia have never played each other.