Head to head

Mexico vs Wales

If they played today

Mexico at home

66% / 20% / 14%

Mexico win / draw / Wales win

Mexico–Wales

2–0 12.1%
1–0 11.8%
2–1 9.7%
1–1 9.6%
3–0 8.2%

Neutral venue

58% / 23% / 19%

Mexico win / draw / Wales win

Mexico–Wales

1–0 11.4%
1–1 10.7%
2–0 10.5%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.4%

Wales at home

50% / 25% / 25%

Mexico win / draw / Wales win

Mexico–Wales

1–1 11.7%
1–0 10.9%
2–1 9.6%
2–0 8.9%
0–1 7.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mexico	Wales
Current Elo	2012	1743
Elo rank	12th	52nd
Peak Elo	2044 (2026)	1904 (2021)
Matches played	1008	726
All-time record	518W 231D 259L	234W 165D 327L
Goals for	1777	910
Goals against	1057	1160
Biggest win	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification	11–0 vs Northern Ireland · 1888-03-03 · British Home Championship
Biggest loss	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly	0–9 vs Scotland · 1878-03-23 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.64	0.02

When they've met

Meetings

Mexico 2W 2D 1L

Goals

5–3

Mexico first

First meeting

1–1

Drawn · 1958-06-11 · FIFA World Cup

Most recent

0–1

Wales won · 2021-03-27 · Friendly

Mexico's biggest win

2–0

2012-05-27 · Friendly

Wales' biggest win

1–0

2021-03-27 · Friendly

Current run

Unbeaten in 2

Wales · since 2018-05-28

5 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2021-03-27	0–1	Wales home	Friendly
2018-05-28	0–0	Neutral	Friendly
2012-05-27	2–0	Neutral	Friendly
1962-05-22	2–1	Mexico home	Friendly
1958-06-11	1–1	Neutral	FIFA World Cup