Head to head

Mexico vs Venezuela

If they played today

Mexico at home

60% / 22% / 18%

Mexico win / draw / Venezuela win

Mexico–Venezuela

1–0 11.5%
2–0 10.8%
1–1 10.5%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.8%

Neutral venue

52% / 24% / 24%

Mexico win / draw / Venezuela win

Mexico–Venezuela

1–1 11.5%
1–0 11.0%
2–1 9.7%
2–0 9.2%
0–1 6.9%

Venezuela at home

44% / 26% / 30%

Mexico win / draw / Venezuela win

Mexico–Venezuela

1–1 12.2%
1–0 10.3%
2–1 9.0%
0–1 8.3%
2–0 7.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mexico	Venezuela
Current Elo	2012	1823
Elo rank	12th	36th
Peak Elo	2044 (2026)	1915 (2024)
Matches played	1008	460
All-time record	518W 231D 259L	117W 101D 242L
Goals for	1777	483
Goals against	1057	856
Biggest win	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification	6–0 vs Puerto Rico · 1946-12-20 · Central American and Caribbean Games
Biggest loss	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly	0–11 vs Argentina · 1975-08-10 · Copa América
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.64	0.00

When they've met

Meetings

Mexico 9W 3D 2L

Goals

27–14

Mexico first

First meeting

1–0

Mexico won · 1938-02-14 · Central American and Caribbean Games

Most recent

0–1

Venezuela won · 2024-06-26 · Copa América

Mexico's biggest win

4–0

2009-06-24 · Friendly

Venezuela's biggest win

3–0

2011-06-11 · Friendly

Most common result

3–1

Mexico first · 5 times, last 2019-06-05

Current run

Won the last meeting

Venezuela · since 2024-06-26

14 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2024-06-26	0–1	Neutral	Copa América
2019-06-05	3–1	Neutral	Friendly
2016-06-13	1–1	Neutral	Copa América
2012-01-25	3–1	Neutral	Friendly
2011-06-11	0–3	Neutral	Friendly
2011-03-29	1–1	Neutral	Friendly
2010-10-12	2–2	Mexico home	Friendly
2009-06-24	4–0	Neutral	Friendly
2007-02-28	3–1	Neutral	Friendly
2006-05-05	1–0	Neutral	Friendly
2000-07-05	2–1	Mexico home	Friendly
1999-07-06	3–1	Neutral	Copa América
1995-07-09	3–1	Neutral	Copa América
1938-02-14	1–0	Neutral	Central American and Caribbean Games