Head to head

Mexico vs Uruguay

If they played today

Mexico at home

52% / 24% / 24%

Mexico win / draw / Uruguay win

Mexico–Uruguay

1–1 11.5%
1–0 11.0%
2–1 9.7%
2–0 9.2%
0–1 6.9%

Neutral venue

44% / 26% / 30%

Mexico win / draw / Uruguay win

Mexico–Uruguay

1–1 12.2%
1–0 10.3%
2–1 9.0%
0–1 8.3%
2–0 7.6%

Uruguay at home

36% / 26% / 38%

Mexico win / draw / Uruguay win

Mexico–Uruguay

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.8%
1–0 9.4%
1–2 8.3%
2–1 8.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mexico	Uruguay
Current Elo	2012	1925
Elo rank	12th	18th
Peak Elo	2044 (2026)	2104 (2024)
Matches played	1008	973
All-time record	518W 231D 259L	428W 242D 303L
Goals for	1777	1537
Goals against	1057	1182
Biggest win	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification	9–0 vs Bolivia · 1927-11-06 · Copa América
Biggest loss	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly	0–6 vs Argentina · 1902-07-20 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	2
Expected World Cups	0.64	0.84

When they've met

Meetings

Mexico 8W 8D 8L

Goals

29–35

Mexico first

First meeting

1–3

Uruguay won · 1952-03-23 · Pan American Championship

Most recent

0–0

Drawn · 2025-11-15 · Friendly

Mexico's biggest win

3–1

2016-06-05 · Copa América

Uruguay's biggest win

4–0

2024-06-05 · Friendly

Most common result

3–1

Mexico first · 3 times, last 2016-06-05

Current run

Unbeaten in 4

Uruguay · since 2018-09-07

24 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2025-11-15	0–0	Mexico home	Friendly
2024-06-05	0–4	Neutral	Friendly
2022-06-02	0–3	Neutral	Friendly
2018-09-07	1–4	Neutral	Friendly
2016-06-05	3–1	Neutral	Copa América
2011-07-12	0–1	Neutral	Copa América
2010-06-22	0–1	Neutral	FIFA World Cup
2007-07-14	3–1	Neutral	Copa América
2005-10-26	3–1	Mexico home	Friendly
2004-07-07	2–2	Neutral	Copa América
2003-10-15	0–2	Neutral	Friendly
2001-07-25	2–1	Neutral	Copa América
1995-07-13	1–1	Uruguay home	Copa América
1995-02-01	1–0	Neutral	Friendly
1991-11-20	1–1	Mexico home	Friendly
1991-05-07	0–2	Neutral	Friendly
1990-03-20	2–1	Neutral	Friendly
1986-04-13	1–0	Neutral	Friendly
1984-10-31	1–1	Uruguay home	Friendly
1968-10-26	2–0	Uruguay home	Friendly
1968-05-28	2–2	Mexico home	Friendly
1968-05-21	3–3	Mexico home	Friendly
1966-07-19	0–0	Neutral	FIFA World Cup
1952-03-23	1–3	Neutral	Pan American Championship