Head to head

Mexico vs Ukraine

If they played today

Mexico at home

58% / 23% / 19%

Mexico win / draw / Ukraine win

Mexico–Ukraine

1–0 11.4%
1–1 10.8%
2–0 10.4%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.4%

Neutral venue

50% / 25% / 25%

Mexico win / draw / Ukraine win

Mexico–Ukraine

1–1 11.7%
1–0 10.8%
2–1 9.5%
2–0 8.8%
0–1 7.2%

Ukraine at home

42% / 26% / 32%

Mexico win / draw / Ukraine win

Mexico–Ukraine

1–1 12.3%
1–0 10.2%
2–1 8.8%
0–1 8.6%
1–2 7.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mexico	Ukraine
Current Elo	2012	1847
Elo rank	12th	30th
Peak Elo	2044 (2026)	1921 (2024)
Matches played	1008	338
All-time record	518W 231D 259L	152W 94D 92L
Goals for	1777	475
Goals against	1057	358
Biggest win	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification	9–0 vs San Marino · 2013-09-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly	1–7 vs France · 2020-10-07 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.64	0.01

When they've met

Meetings

Mexico 1W 0D 0L

Goals

2–1

Mexico first

First meeting

2–1

Mexico won · 1993-10-20 · Friendly

Most recent

2–1

Mexico won · 1993-10-20 · Friendly

1 meeting

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
1993-10-20	2–1	Neutral	Friendly