Head to head

Mexico vs Tunisia

If they played today

Mexico at home

72% / 18% / 10%

Mexico win / draw / Tunisia win

Mexico–Tunisia

2–0 13.3%
1–0 12.1%
3–0 9.8%
2–1 9.3%
1–1 8.5%

Neutral venue

65% / 21% / 15%

Mexico win / draw / Tunisia win

Mexico–Tunisia

2–0 11.8%
1–0 11.8%
2–1 9.8%
1–1 9.8%
3–0 7.9%

Tunisia at home

57% / 23% / 20%

Mexico win / draw / Tunisia win

Mexico–Tunisia

1–0 11.3%
1–1 10.9%
2–0 10.2%
2–1 9.8%
0–0 6.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mexico	Tunisia
Current Elo	2012	1661
Elo rank	12th	75th
Peak Elo	2044 (2026)	1862 (2023)
Matches played	1008	681
All-time record	518W 231D 259L	296W 189D 196L
Goals for	1777	976
Goals against	1057	702
Biggest win	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification	8–1 vs Djibouti · 2015-06-12 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly	0–7 vs Serbia · 1960-08-06 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.64	0.05

When they've met

Meetings

Mexico 0W 0D 1L

Goals

1–3

Mexico first

First meeting

1–3

Tunisia won · 1978-06-02 · FIFA World Cup

Most recent

1–3

Tunisia won · 1978-06-02 · FIFA World Cup

1 meeting

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
1978-06-02	1–3	Neutral	FIFA World Cup