Head to head

Mexico vs Tonga

If they played today

Mexico at home

96% / 4% / 0%

Mexico win / draw / Tonga win

Mexico–Tonga

3–0 20.8%
2–0 18.3%
4–0 17.7%
5–0 12.1%
1–0 10.7%

Neutral venue

95% / 4% / 0%

Mexico win / draw / Tonga win

Mexico–Tonga

3–0 21.2%
2–0 19.8%
4–0 17.0%
1–0 12.3%
5–0 10.9%

Tonga at home

93% / 6% / 1%

Mexico win / draw / Tonga win

Mexico–Tonga

3–0 19.1%
2–0 19.0%
4–0 14.4%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 8.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mexico	Tonga
Current Elo	2012	1056
Elo rank	12th	198th
Peak Elo	2044 (2026)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	1008	68
All-time record	518W 231D 259L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	1777	81
Goals against	1057	253
Biggest win	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.64	0.00

When they've met

Mexico and Tonga have never played each other.