Head to head

Mexico vs Tahiti

If they played today

Mexico at home

81% / 13% / 5%

Mexico win / draw / Tahiti win

Mexico–Tahiti

2–0 15.6%
3–0 13.1%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 8.2%
2–1 7.7%

Neutral venue

75% / 16% / 8%

Mexico win / draw / Tahiti win

Mexico–Tahiti

2–0 14.2%
1–0 12.3%
3–0 10.9%
2–1 8.9%
1–1 7.7%

Tahiti at home

69% / 19% / 12%

Mexico win / draw / Tahiti win

Mexico–Tahiti

2–0 12.6%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.6%
1–1 9.1%
3–0 8.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mexico	Tahiti
Current Elo	2012	1506
Elo rank	12th	109th
Peak Elo	2044 (2026)	1856 (1996)
Matches played	1008	242
All-time record	518W 231D 259L	131W 31D 80L
Goals for	1777	657
Goals against	1057	371
Biggest win	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification	30–0 vs Cook Islands · 1971-09-13 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly	0–10 vs Spain · 2013-06-20 · Confederations Cup
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.64	0.00

When they've met

Meetings

Mexico 1W 0D 0L

Goals

1–0

Mexico first

First meeting

1–0

Mexico won · 1980-09-02 · Friendly

Most recent

1–0

Mexico won · 1980-09-02 · Friendly

1 meeting

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
1980-09-02	1–0	Tahiti home	Friendly