Head to head

Mexico vs Sweden

If they played today

Mexico at home

62% / 21% / 17%

Mexico win / draw / Sweden win

Mexico–Sweden

1–0 11.6%
2–0 11.2%
1–1 10.2%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.2%

Neutral venue

54% / 24% / 22%

Mexico win / draw / Sweden win

Mexico–Sweden

1–1 11.3%
1–0 11.1%
2–1 9.8%
2–0 9.6%
0–1 6.5%

Sweden at home

46% / 25% / 28%

Mexico win / draw / Sweden win

Mexico–Sweden

1–1 12.1%
1–0 10.5%
2–1 9.2%
2–0 8.1%
0–1 7.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mexico	Sweden
Current Elo	2012	1797
Elo rank	12th	41st
Peak Elo	2044 (2026)	1955 (2018)
Matches played	1008	1105
All-time record	518W 231D 259L	542W 234D 329L
Goals for	1777	2178
Goals against	1057	1431
Biggest win	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification	12–0 vs Latvia · 1927-05-29 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly	0–10 vs Denmark · 1913-10-05 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.64	0.52

When they've met

Meetings

Mexico 2W 3D 6L

Goals

6–13

Mexico first

First meeting

0–3

Sweden won · 1958-06-08 · FIFA World Cup

Most recent

1–2

Sweden won · 2022-11-16 · Friendly

Mexico's biggest win

2–0

1983-11-22 · Friendly

Sweden's biggest win

3–0

2018-06-27 · FIFA World Cup

Most common result

0–1

Mexico first · 3 times, last 2009-01-28

Current run

Unbeaten in 4

Sweden · since 2005-01-26

11 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2022-11-16	1–2	Neutral	Friendly
2018-06-27	0–3	Neutral	FIFA World Cup
2009-01-28	0–1	Neutral	Friendly
2005-01-26	0–0	Neutral	Friendly
1994-02-24	2–1	Neutral	Friendly
1984-08-22	1–1	Sweden home	Friendly
1983-11-22	2–0	Mexico home	Friendly
1970-03-01	0–1	Mexico home	Friendly
1970-02-22	0–0	Mexico home	Friendly
1969-05-01	0–1	Sweden home	Friendly
1958-06-08	0–3	Sweden home	FIFA World Cup