Head to head

Mexico vs Sri Lanka

If they played today

Mexico at home

96% / 3% / 0%

Mexico win / draw / Sri Lanka win

Mexico–Sri Lanka

3–0 20.5%
4–0 18.0%
2–0 17.6%
5–0 12.6%
1–0 10.0%

Neutral venue

96% / 4% / 0%

Mexico win / draw / Sri Lanka win

Mexico–Sri Lanka

3–0 21.0%
2–0 19.1%
4–0 17.3%
1–0 11.6%
5–0 11.5%

Sri Lanka at home

94% / 5% / 0%

Mexico win / draw / Sri Lanka win

Mexico–Sri Lanka

3–0 20.3%
2–0 19.6%
4–0 15.7%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 9.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mexico	Sri Lanka
Current Elo	2012	1011
Elo rank	12th	202nd
Peak Elo	2044 (2026)	1489 (1952)
Matches played	1008	251
All-time record	518W 231D 259L	49W 47D 155L
Goals for	1777	237
Goals against	1057	576
Biggest win	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification	7–1 vs Pakistan · 2008-04-04 · AFC Challenge Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly	1–12 vs German DR · 1964-01-12 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.64	0.00

When they've met

Mexico and Sri Lanka have never played each other.