Head to head

Mexico vs South Korea

If they played today

Mexico at home

59% / 23% / 19%

Mexico win / draw / South Korea win

Mexico–South Korea

1–0 11.4%
1–1 10.7%
2–0 10.5%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.4%

Neutral venue

51% / 25% / 25%

Mexico win / draw / South Korea win

Mexico–South Korea

1–1 11.7%
1–0 10.9%
2–1 9.6%
2–0 8.9%
0–1 7.1%

South Korea at home

42% / 26% / 32%

Mexico win / draw / South Korea win

Mexico–South Korea

1–1 12.3%
1–0 10.2%
2–1 8.9%
0–1 8.6%
1–2 7.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mexico	South Korea
Current Elo	2012	1842
Elo rank	12th	33rd
Peak Elo	2044 (2026)	1940 (1980)
Matches played	1008	1010
All-time record	518W 231D 259L	539W 252D 219L
Goals for	1777	1794
Goals against	1057	917
Biggest win	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification	16–0 vs Nepal · 2003-09-29 · AFC Asian Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly	0–9 vs Hungary · 1954-06-17 · FIFA World Cup
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.64	0.19

When they've met

Meetings

Mexico 9W 3D 3L

Goals

29–15

Mexico first

First meeting

0–1

South Korea won · 1980-02-26 · Friendly

Most recent

1–0

Mexico won · 2026-06-18 · FIFA World Cup

Mexico's biggest win

4–0

2014-01-29 · Friendly

South Korea's biggest win

2–1

2001-06-01 · Confederations Cup

Most common result

2–1

Mexico first · 3 times, last 2018-06-23

Current run

Unbeaten in 5

Mexico · since 2014-01-29

15 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2026-06-18	1–0	Mexico home	FIFA World Cup
2025-09-09	2–2	Neutral	Friendly
2020-11-14	3–2	Neutral	Friendly
2018-06-23	2–1	Neutral	FIFA World Cup
2014-01-29	4–0	Neutral	Friendly
2006-02-15	0–1	Neutral	Friendly
2002-01-27	0–0	Neutral	Gold Cup
2001-06-01	1–2	South Korea home	Confederations Cup
1999-06-12	1–1	South Korea home	Korea Cup
1998-06-13	3–1	Neutral	FIFA World Cup
1989-08-10	4–2	Neutral	Marlboro Cup
1985-12-10	2–1	Mexico home	Friendly
1985-12-03	2–1	Neutral	Friendly
1981-02-11	4–0	Mexico home	Friendly
1980-02-26	0–1	Neutral	Friendly