Head to head

Mexico vs South Africa

If they played today

Mexico at home

70% / 19% / 12%

Mexico win / draw / South Africa win

Mexico–South Africa

2–0 12.8%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.5%
3–0 9.1%
1–1 8.9%

Neutral venue

62% / 21% / 16%

Mexico win / draw / South Africa win

Mexico–South Africa

1–0 11.6%
2–0 11.3%
1–1 10.2%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.3%

South Africa at home

54% / 24% / 22%

Mexico win / draw / South Africa win

Mexico–South Africa

1–1 11.3%
1–0 11.1%
2–1 9.8%
2–0 9.7%
0–1 6.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mexico	South Africa
Current Elo	2012	1694
Elo rank	12th	66th
Peak Elo	2044 (2026)	1792 (1996)
Matches played	1008	484
All-time record	518W 231D 259L	216W 146D 122L
Goals for	1777	652
Goals against	1057	458
Biggest win	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification	8–0 vs Australia · 1955-09-17 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly	3–9 vs Netherlands · 1958-11-12 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.64	0.02

When they've met

Meetings

Mexico 3W 1D 1L

Goals

12–5

Mexico first

First meeting

4–0

Mexico won · 1993-10-06 · Friendly

Most recent

2–0

Mexico won · 2026-06-11 · FIFA World Cup

Mexico's biggest win

4–0

1993-10-06 · Friendly

South Africa's biggest win

2–1

2005-07-08 · Gold Cup

Current run

Unbeaten in 2

Mexico · since 2010-06-11

5 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2026-06-11	2–0	Mexico home	FIFA World Cup
2010-06-11	1–1	South Africa home	FIFA World Cup
2005-07-08	1–2	Neutral	Gold Cup
2000-06-07	4–2	Neutral	USA Cup
1993-10-06	4–0	Neutral	Friendly