Head to head

Mexico vs Serbia

If they played today

Mexico at home

62% / 21% / 16%

Mexico win / draw / Serbia win

Mexico–Serbia

1–0 11.6%
2–0 11.3%
1–1 10.2%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.3%

Neutral venue

55% / 24% / 22%

Mexico win / draw / Serbia win

Mexico–Serbia

1–1 11.2%
1–0 11.2%
2–1 9.8%
2–0 9.7%
0–1 6.5%

Serbia at home

47% / 25% / 28%

Mexico win / draw / Serbia win

Mexico–Serbia

1–1 12.0%
1–0 10.6%
2–1 9.3%
2–0 8.1%
0–1 7.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mexico	Serbia
Current Elo	2012	1792
Elo rank	12th	42nd
Peak Elo	2044 (2026)	1962 (1998)
Matches played	1008	831
All-time record	518W 231D 259L	378W 187D 266L
Goals for	1777	1473
Goals against	1057	1138
Biggest win	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification	10–0 vs Venezuela · 1972-06-14 · Brazil Independence Cup
Biggest loss	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly	0–7 vs Czechoslovakia · 1925-10-28 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.64	0.56

When they've met

Meetings

Mexico 3W 1D 5L

Goals

15–17

Mexico first

First meeting

1–4

Serbia won · 1950-06-28 · FIFA World Cup

Most recent

5–1

Mexico won · 2026-06-04 · Friendly

Mexico's biggest win

5–1

2026-06-04 · Friendly

Serbia's biggest win

4–0

1971-09-22 · Friendly

Most common result

5–1

Mexico first · twice, last 2026-06-04

Current run

Won last 2

Mexico · since 2011-11-11

9 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2026-06-04	5–1	Mexico home	Friendly
2011-11-11	2–0	Mexico home	Friendly
2002-02-13	1–2	Neutral	Friendly
1996-05-23	0–0	Neutral	Kirin Cup
1995-11-16	1–4	Mexico home	Friendly
1977-02-08	0–1	Mexico home	Friendly
1977-02-01	5–1	Mexico home	Friendly
1971-09-22	0–4	Serbia home	Friendly
1950-06-28	1–4	Neutral	FIFA World Cup