Head to head

Mexico vs Senegal

If they played today

Mexico at home

55% / 23% / 21%

Mexico win / draw / Senegal win

Mexico–Senegal

1–0 11.2%
1–1 11.1%
2–0 9.9%
2–1 9.8%
0–0 6.4%

Neutral venue

47% / 25% / 27%

Mexico win / draw / Senegal win

Mexico–Senegal

1–1 12.0%
1–0 10.6%
2–1 9.3%
2–0 8.3%
0–1 7.7%

Senegal at home

39% / 26% / 34%

Mexico win / draw / Senegal win

Mexico–Senegal

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.9%
0–1 9.2%
2–1 8.5%
1–2 7.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mexico	Senegal
Current Elo	2012	1881
Elo rank	12th	27th
Peak Elo	2044 (2026)	1953 (2026)
Matches played	1008	642
All-time record	518W 231D 259L	299W 169D 174L
Goals for	1777	892
Goals against	1057	608
Biggest win	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification	8–0 vs Kenya · 2025-11-18 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly	0–5 vs Guinea · 1966-03-06 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.64	0.04

When they've met

Meetings

Mexico 1W 0D 0L

Goals

1–0

Mexico first

First meeting

1–0

Mexico won · 2010-05-10 · Friendly

Most recent

1–0

Mexico won · 2010-05-10 · Friendly

1 meeting

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2010-05-10	1–0	Neutral	Friendly