Head to head

Mexico vs Rwanda

If they played today

Mexico at home

84% / 12% / 4%

Mexico win / draw / Rwanda win

Mexico–Rwanda

2–0 16.5%
3–0 14.4%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 9.5%
2–1 6.8%

Neutral venue

79% / 15% / 7%

Mexico win / draw / Rwanda win

Mexico–Rwanda

2–0 15.0%
1–0 12.4%
3–0 12.2%
2–1 8.2%
4–0 7.4%

Rwanda at home

73% / 17% / 10%

Mexico win / draw / Rwanda win

Mexico–Rwanda

2–0 13.5%
1–0 12.1%
3–0 10.0%
2–1 9.2%
1–1 8.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mexico	Rwanda
Current Elo	2012	1448
Elo rank	12th	128th
Peak Elo	2044 (2026)	1532 (2015)
Matches played	1008	280
All-time record	518W 231D 259L	88W 74D 118L
Goals for	1777	289
Goals against	1057	336
Biggest win	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification	9–0 vs Djibouti · 2007-12-13 · CECAFA Cup
Biggest loss	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly	1–6 vs DR Congo · 1976-07-03 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.64	0.00

When they've met

Mexico and Rwanda have never played each other.