Head to head

Mexico vs Qatar

If they played today

Mexico at home

79% / 14% / 6%

Mexico win / draw / Qatar win

Mexico–Qatar

2–0 15.1%
1–0 12.4%
3–0 12.3%
2–1 8.2%
4–0 7.5%

Neutral venue

73% / 17% / 10%

Mexico win / draw / Qatar win

Mexico–Qatar

2–0 13.6%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.2%
2–1 9.2%
1–1 8.2%

Qatar at home

66% / 20% / 14%

Mexico win / draw / Qatar win

Mexico–Qatar

2–0 12.1%
1–0 11.8%
2–1 9.7%
1–1 9.6%
3–0 8.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mexico	Qatar
Current Elo	2012	1543
Elo rank	12th	95th
Peak Elo	2044 (2026)	1881 (2019)
Matches played	1008	638
All-time record	518W 231D 259L	260W 156D 222L
Goals for	1777	897
Goals against	1057	777
Biggest win	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification	15–0 vs Bhutan · 2015-09-03 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly	0–9 vs Kuwait · 1973-04-12 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.64	0.01

When they've met

Meetings

Mexico 0W 0D 1L

Goals

0–1

Mexico first

First meeting

0–1

Qatar won · 2023-07-02 · Gold Cup

Most recent

0–1

Qatar won · 2023-07-02 · Gold Cup

1 meeting

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2023-07-02	0–1	Neutral	Gold Cup